Archive - Abstraction

Abundance Starts with Mobility

skip the gridlock and take the faster route to abundance

May 14 •

April 2025

December 2024

When to Use Forecasting for Decisions

seldom needed, but don't neglect it when it is

Dec 13, 2024 •

August 2024

July 2024

Many Top Forecasters Aren't That Good

luck can make mediocre forecasters seem better than they are

Jul 12, 2024 •

April 2024

turn disagreements into learning opportunities

Apr 28, 2024 •

March 2024

2023 ACX Forecast Contest Thoughts

reflections and takeaways

Mar 25, 2024 •

January 2024

When AI Can Do All Jobs

what humans can do after AI achieves cognitive superiority

Jan 22, 2024 •

Why I Signed the AI Treaty Open Letter

and why you should consider doing the same

Jan 6, 2024 •

November 2023

Forecast Scoring Methods

which method is best for identifying top forecasters?

Nov 7, 2023 •

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