Abstraction

Abundance Starts with Mobility

skip the gridlock and take the faster route to abundance

May 14 • 

Jonathan Mann

12

14

April 2025

Discovering Better World Models

separating discernment from delusion

Apr 24 • 

Jonathan Mann

4

Quick Updates

new articles, lessonline, and samotsvety coming to nyc in june

Apr 23 • 

Jonathan Mann

5

December 2024

When to Use Forecasting for Decisions

seldom needed, but don't neglect it when it is

Dec 13, 2024 • 

Jonathan Mann

4

August 2024

Reframing Bowling Alone

connecting the dots with network theory

Aug 22, 2024 • 

Jonathan Mann

3

AI Is Smarter Than You Realize

even if progress stalls (and it won't), we've only started to tap its potential

Aug 9, 2024 • 

Jonathan Mann

2

July 2024

Many Top Forecasters Aren't That Good

luck can make mediocre forecasters seem better than they are

Jul 12, 2024 • 

Jonathan Mann

9

April 2024

Book Bets

turn disagreements into learning opportunities

Apr 28, 2024 • 

Jonathan Mann

3

3

March 2024

2023 ACX Forecast Contest Thoughts

reflections and takeaways

Mar 25, 2024 • 

Jonathan Mann

3

1

January 2024

When AI Can Do All Jobs

what humans can do after AI achieves cognitive superiority

Jan 22, 2024 • 

Jonathan Mann

4

Why I Signed the AI Treaty Open Letter

and why you should consider doing the same

Jan 6, 2024 • 

Jonathan Mann

1

1

November 2023

Forecast Scoring Methods

which method is best for identifying top forecasters?

Nov 7, 2023 • 

Jonathan Mann

4