Abstraction

You Don't Own Your Reputation

it’s not a technical limitation, it’s a business model

Oct 28 • Jonathan Mann

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May 2025

Abundance Starts with Mobility

skip the gridlock and take the faster route to abundance

May 14 • Jonathan Mann

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April 2025

Discovering Better World Models

separating discernment from delusion

Apr 24 • Jonathan Mann

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Quick Updates

new articles, lessonline, and samotsvety coming to nyc in june

Apr 23 • Jonathan Mann

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December 2024

When to Use Forecasting for Decisions

seldom needed, but don't neglect it when it is

Dec 13, 2024 • Jonathan Mann

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August 2024

Reframing Bowling Alone

connecting the dots with network theory

Aug 22, 2024 • Jonathan Mann

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AI Is Smarter Than You Realize

even if progress stalls (and it won't), we've only started to tap its potential

Aug 9, 2024 • Jonathan Mann

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July 2024

Many Top Forecasters Aren't That Good

luck can make mediocre forecasters seem better than they are

Jul 12, 2024 • Jonathan Mann

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April 2024

Book Bets

turn disagreements into learning opportunities

Apr 28, 2024 • Jonathan Mann

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March 2024

2023 ACX Forecast Contest Thoughts

reflections and takeaways

Mar 25, 2024 • Jonathan Mann

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January 2024

When AI Can Do All Jobs

what humans can do after AI achieves cognitive superiority

Jan 22, 2024 • Jonathan Mann

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Why I Signed the AI Treaty Open Letter

and why you should consider doing the same

Jan 6, 2024 • Jonathan Mann

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