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Against Forecasting Tournaments
Why tournaments often encourage biased forecasting
Jonathan Mann
Feb 6
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Against Forecasting Tournaments
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Judicious Prospecting
Finding opportunities worth pursuing
Jonathan Mann
Jan 24
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Judicious Prospecting
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Abstraction will mostly be about forecasting and predictions, information processing platforms like prediction markets, AI safety and x-risk, and other…
Jonathan Mann
Dec 24, 2021
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Abstraction
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Abstraction
The ideal is when nothing more can be abstracted away
By Jonathan Mann
· Launched 2 months ago
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