I haven’t had a lot of time for writing lately as teaching, work, forecasting, and life have kept me busy, but I’ve got a few new articles coming soon, including one that’s going out tomorrow morning.
In other news, I’ve been invited to LessOnline this year and I’m looking forward to seeing many of you there. If you’re attending, feel free to say hi or reach out in advance. I’ll be around for the full weekend and always up for a good conversation, especially about forecasting, epistemics, or AI progress.
Finally, Samotsvety is holding a forecasting conference and retreat this June the week after Manifest. While the conference is invite-only, we’re holding a public hangout in Fort Greene Park in Brooklyn on the evening of Tuesday, June 10. If you’re in NYC and interested in forecasting, rationality, or a casual reader of this blog, come by and say hello—everyone’s welcome.