I’m Jonathan Mann, a forecaster for Samotsvety, a Good Judgment Superforecaster, and an INFER Pro and 2023 INFER All-Star. I’ve worked as a Data Scientist, a Product Manager, and am currently a Cybersecurity Architect. I live in New York City and can be reached at jonathan.mann [at] nyu.edu.

Abstraction is a blog about forecasting and predictions, information processing platforms like prediction markets, AI safety and existential risk, and other various topics.

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Forecasting and the future of AI.