About

I’m Jonathan Mann, a forecaster for Samotsvety, a Good Judgment Superforecaster, and a professional for RAND’s Forecasting Initiative. I’ve worked as a Data Scientist, a Product Manager, and am currently a Cybersecurity Architect in the financial sector and adjunct faculty for the Computer Science department at NYU. I live in New York City and can be reached at jonathan.mann [at] nyu.edu.

Abstraction is a blog about forecasting and predictions, information processing platforms like prediction markets, AI safety and existential risk, and other various topics.




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Forecasting and the future of AI.